Warren Central
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #131
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #40
Rushville Regional Rank #10
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Ben Davis JV Marion County North Central JV Meet Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 9/28 10/2 10/5 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 1,031 1,029 1,136 1,137 1,120 1,015 1,025 1,030
Team Adjusted Rating 964 1,041 1,002 1,120 1,015 1,025 1,030
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Ben Davis JV Marion County North Central JV Meet Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
316  Grant Coburn 10 17:25 17:11 17:21 17:25 17:19 17:20 17:16 17:42 17:43
958  Ethan Carter 12 18:28 18:27 18:22 17:56 18:27 18:55 18:43 18:24
1,025  Xavier Wills 12 18:34 17:59 20:30 18:01 18:29 18:59
1,320  Daniel Swank 10 18:57 19:05 19:09 19:12 19:09 18:51 18:37
Brian Posadas-Cuaya 12 19:33 19:45 19:42 19:31 19:34 19:21 19:48 19:23
Gabe Wagner 11 19:35 20:39 19:46 20:30 19:48 19:49 20:05 19:15
Ludvick Kelley 12 19:38 19:34 20:19 21:01 19:33 19:49 19:34 19:18
Anthony Baker 11 20:40 20:49 20:29 20:47
Finley Moulder 12 20:40 20:36 20:33 22:08 20:20 20:45
Tyler Nelson 12 20:44 20:17 20:44 20:37 24:06
Andrew Ma 11 20:47 20:57 20:38 20:16 21:06 20:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.3 221 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.7 11.0 25.6 57.0
Sectionals 100% 5.0 151 2.1 97.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grant Coburn 99.3% 96.8 99.3% 99.3%
Ethan Carter 0.2% 143.0 0.2% 0.2%
Xavier Wills 0.1% 151.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grant Coburn 100% 20.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.5 4.3 5.2 6.8 7.9 9.6 10.9 10.3 10.0 7.5 5.5 100.0%
Ethan Carter 100% 46.3 100.0%
Xavier Wills 100% 51.3 100.0%
Daniel Swank 100% 69.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Grant Coburn 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.3 2.9 3.5 5.8 9.8 10.4 13.5 29.1 13.4 4.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Ethan Carter 27.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 6.1 6.8 8.1
Xavier Wills 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.6 4.4
Daniel Swank 36.0 0.0 0.0